im investigating the effects of corruption on literacy rates. I am getting some strange results on my year dummies, my results indicate that literacy rates have been decreasing over time, however all evidence online suggests that they have been increasing! Im not sure why this is happening/how to explain this when reporting my results?
Code:
reg newliteracy CPI newmarriage depend edspend mortality newfemteach urban lnGDP i.year
Source | SS df MS Number of obs = 1,063
-------------+---------------------------------- F(25, 1037) = 170.47
Model | 410877.86 25 16435.1144 Prob > F = 0.0000
Residual | 99977.4977 1,037 96.410316 R-squared = 0.8043
-------------+---------------------------------- Adj R-squared = 0.7996
Total | 510855.358 1,062 481.031411 Root MSE = 9.8189
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
newliteracy | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
CPI | -.1372762 .0336015 -4.09 0.000 -.2032109 -.0713415
newmarriage | .02767 .1030364 0.27 0.788 -.1745136 .2298536
depend | -.0887622 .0359464 -2.47 0.014 -.1592981 -.0182262
edspend | .6886944 .2494638 2.76 0.006 .1991831 1.178206
mortality | -.4913488 .0306147 -16.05 0.000 -.5514225 -.431275
newfemteach | .348379 .0238237 14.62 0.000 .3016309 .3951272
urban | .0750816 .0236254 3.18 0.002 .0287225 .1214407
lnGDP | -.9519875 .6635857 -1.43 0.152 -2.254111 .3501363
|
year |
2001 | -.6425476 1.808145 -0.36 0.722 -4.190589 2.905493
2002 | -1.515837 1.801596 -0.84 0.400 -5.051027 2.019352
2003 | -2.242362 1.81033 -1.24 0.216 -5.794689 1.309965
2004 | -2.686559 1.811094 -1.48 0.138 -6.240386 .8672682
2005 | -3.279528 1.812903 -1.81 0.071 -6.836905 .2778491
2006 | -3.853175 1.81347 -2.12 0.034 -7.411665 -.2946854
2007 | -4.300564 1.815933 -2.37 0.018 -7.863887 -.7372417
2008 | -4.726284 1.817127 -2.60 0.009 -8.291949 -1.160618
2009 | -5.506428 1.824631 -3.02 0.003 -9.086817 -1.926038
2010 | -5.612769 1.8244 -3.08 0.002 -9.192706 -2.032833
2011 | -5.727455 1.827278 -3.13 0.002 -9.313039 -2.141871
2012 | -5.049478 1.823489 -2.77 0.006 -8.627628 -1.471329
2013 | -5.019523 1.826761 -2.75 0.006 -8.604091 -1.434954
2014 | -4.768564 1.828538 -2.61 0.009 -8.356621 -1.180506
2015 | -4.529592 1.830729 -2.47 0.014 -8.121947 -.9372372
2016 | -4.134394 1.833842 -2.25 0.024 -7.732859 -.535929
2017 | -3.96663 1.836512 -2.16 0.031 -7.570333 -.362927
|
_cons | 92.32298 5.814951 15.88 0.000 80.91257 103.7334
0 Response to unexpected results on year dummies
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