I am trying to see the granger causality between government revenue and government spending. I am using panel data of 40 countries and 20 years dataset. Since the variables have to be stationary, I use the first difference of revenue and level value of government spending. I also balanced the panel. However, the p-value of Z-bar and the p-value of Z-bar tilde have different levels of significance. Which one should I have to choose [Z-bar / Z-bar tilde]? Does the result indicate granger causality? Thanks
xtbalance, range(2000 2019) miss( dlrev lspending )
xtgcause lspending dlrev , lags(1)
Dumitrescu & Hurlin (2012) Granger non-causality test results: | |
Lag order: 1 | |
W-bar = 1.4082 | |
Z-bar = 1.8257 (p-value = 0.0679) | |
Z-bar tilde = 0.8740 (p-value = 0.3821) | |
H0: dlrev does not Granger-cause lspending. | |
H1: dlrev does Granger-cause lspending for at least one panelvar | (id). |
Dumitrescu & Hurlin (2012) Granger non-causality test results: | |
Lag order: 2 | |
W-bar = 2.8715 | |
Z-bar = 2.7560 (p-value = 0.0059) | |
Z-bar tilde = 1.0146 (p-value = 0.3103) | |
H0: dlrev does not Granger-cause lspending. | |
H1: dlrev does Granger-cause lspending for at least one panelvar | (id). |
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