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Specialized on Data processing, Data management Implementation plan, Data Collection tools - electronic and paper base, Data cleaning specifications, Data extraction, Data transformation, Data load, Analytical Datasets, and Data analysis. BJ Data Tech Solutions teaches on design and developing Electronic Data Collection Tools using CSPro, and STATA commands for data manipulation. Setting up Data Management systems using modern data technologies such as Relational Databases, C#, PHP and Android.

Appropriate Model to Forecast the Probability of a Rare Binary Outcome in a Time Series?
Appropriate Model to Forecast the Probability of a Rare Binary Outcome in a Time Series?

Hi there,

I have a dataset with the time-series of stock returns, trading volume, and rare binary signals. Signals are assumed to occur during periods of certain return and volume patterns.

I need a time-series model that predicts a probability that a signal occurs in the next period base on historical return, volume, and signal data.

Unfortunately, I am not experienced with time-series estimation. Do you have proposals for an econometric time-series model that fits those needs?

Thanks for your input!

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Appropriate Model to Forecast the Probability of a Rare Binary Outcome in a Time Series?

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