I tray to analyze the determinants of loan repayment performance in a given organization. The outcome variable was classified into three categories namely ‘paid on time’ for the clients who repaid loan before the due date, ‘delinquency’ for clients who repaid late from the due date or repaid less than the appropriate amount of their most recent loan, and ‘default’ for the clients who did not pay after three months of the due date. After I run the model using mlogit command i found the following result. But I have some question regarding the model and the iia test.
1. Is the overall estimation result good as per the title ?
2. What is the rationality behind choosing base category for specific model?
3. iia test doesnt work for this model what is the problem with it?
I need your help.
Code:
mlogit loanstatus age loansize income area rooms floor tenur hhsize sex educ
Iteration 0: log likelihood = -145.5761
Iteration 1: log likelihood = -75.804603
Iteration 2: log likelihood = -72.239623
Iteration 3: log likelihood = -64.135462
Iteration 4: log likelihood = -62.519257
Iteration 5: log likelihood = -62.061845
Iteration 6: log likelihood = -62.058576
Iteration 7: log likelihood = -62.058576
Multinomial logistic regression Number of obs = 155
LR chi2(20) = 167.04
Prob > chi2 = 0.0000
Log likelihood = -62.058576 Pseudo R2 = 0.5737
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loanstatus | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Default |
age | .0900269 .0497059 1.81 0.070 -.0073949 .1874487
loansize | .0000514 .0000259 1.99 0.047 7.49e-07 .0001021
income | -.0014927 .0004514 -3.31 0.001 -.0023774 -.0006079
area | .0167898 .0949439 0.18 0.860 -.1692968 .2028765
rooms | -3.228844 1.858627 -1.74 0.082 -6.871686 .4139975
floor | .0920056 .2192906 0.42 0.675 -.3377962 .5218073
tenur | -.0978784 .3479336 -0.28 0.778 -.7798156 .5840589
hhsize | -.1732183 .3867932 -0.45 0.654 -.931319 .5848824
sex | -.199167 .9524633 -0.21 0.834 -2.065961 1.667627
educ | -1.596048 .6462633 -2.47 0.014 -2.862701 -.3293956
_cons | .5467191 8.059603 0.07 0.946 -15.24981 16.34325
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Delinquent |
age | .0536494 .0354863 1.51 0.131 -.0159024 .1232012
loansize | .0000102 .0000203 0.50 0.615 -.0000296 .0000501
income | -.0002777 .0001202 -2.31 0.021 -.0005133 -.0000422
area | .06586 .0851608 0.77 0.439 -.1010522 .2327721
rooms | -1.079745 1.246765 -0.87 0.386 -3.52336 1.363869
floor | .3715418 .1467483 2.53 0.011 .0839205 .6591631
tenur | -.1872231 .2649991 -0.71 0.480 -.7066118 .3321656
hhsize | .0925946 .2187679 0.42 0.672 -.3361827 .5213719
sex | .473651 .6225617 0.76 0.447 -.7465475 1.69385
educ | -.8049165 .4456839 -1.81 0.071 -1.678441 .0686079
_cons | -2.80576 5.615922 -0.50 0.617 -13.81276 8.201244
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Paid_on_time | (base outcome)
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. mlogtest, iia
Problem determining number of categories.
**** Hausman tests of IIA assumption
Ho: Odds(Outcome-J vs Outcome-K) are independent of other alternatives.
You used the old syntax of hausman. Click here to learn about the new syntax.
(storing estimation results as _HAUSMAN)
flat region resulting in a missing likelihood
r(430);Ermiyas
0 Response to Multinominal logit model, IIA
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