Any advice on the below, would be very much appreciated!
We have a fixed effects mode, on a small T large N dataset, l which is delivering strong results. We suspect there may be a serial correlation issue which may necessitate a dynamic estimation, as the dependant variable is somewhat persistent.
The model is specified as follows:
Code:
xtreg xROA_c1 L1.(op BB concn EE LEV RD tq) y_*, fe robust
Code:
quietly regress xROA_c1 L1.(oe op EE RD LEV concn tq BB) y_*,vce(cluster uid) predict uhat, residuals forvalues j = 1/6 { quietly corr uhat L`j'.uhat display "Autocorrelation at lag `j' = " %6.3f r(rho) }
Autocorrelation at lag 1 = 0.396When we include a lagged dependant variable in the specification, these autocorrelations decrease substantially:
Autocorrelation at lag 2 = 0.300
Autocorrelation at lag 3 = 0.293
Autocorrelation at lag 4 = 0.242
Autocorrelation at lag 5 = 0.219
Autocorrelation at lag 6 = 0.146
Autocorrelation at lag 1 = -0.059Given these results, I have two questions which I hope you can help with:
Autocorrelation at lag 2 = 0.152
Autocorrelation at lag 3 = 0.128
Autocorrelation at lag 4 = 0.027
Autocorrelation at lag 5 = 0.141
Autocorrelation at lag 6 = 0.034
- Given that our specification is a fixed effects model, with time lags, are we testing for autocorrelation/serial-correlation of the residuals correctly?
- Given these autocorrelations, is there a threshold at which we should consider autocorrelation to be a problem?
- If our tests do indicate a autocorrelation problem, is there an alternative way to address it without opting for a dynamic model (GMM) or a finite distributed lag model?
Kind regards
Ayrton Da Silva
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