I have a question regarding different regression methods to proof my assumption. I want to know how ICT adoption influences the innovativeness of a firm. I have paneldata and two waves of observations. My simple OLS model is
Code:
reg Inno dum_ICT firmage l10 c3 b2b i.a4a i.a1
Code:
. regress Inno dum_ICT firmage l10 c3 b2b i.a4a i.a1
Source | SS df MS Number of obs = 5,167
-------------+---------------------------------- F(53, 5113) = 56.83
Model | 3378.29391 53 63.7413945 Prob > F = 0.0000
Residual | 5735.11813 5,113 1.1216738 R-squared = 0.3707
-------------+---------------------------------- Adj R-squared = 0.3642
Total | 9113.41204 5,166 1.76411383 Root MSE = 1.0591
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Inno | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
dum_ICT | .2775897 .046647 5.95 0.000 .1861417 .3690376
firmage | -.000695 .0010344 -0.67 0.502 -.0027229 .0013329
l10 | .447571 .033803 13.24 0.000 .3813027 .5138393
c3 | .1906314 .0429038 4.44 0.000 .1065216 .2747412
b2b | .0007365 .0005533 1.33 0.183 -.0003482 .0018211
|
Therefore I adapted the model obove in order to see if firms which had zero ICT in year 1 but adapted ICT between year one and year 2 perform better:
Code:
. xtset panelid year
panel variable: panelid (strongly balanced)
time variable: year, 1 to 2
delta: 1 unit
. regress Inno dum_ICT firmage l10 c3 b2b i.a4a i.a1 if year==2 & L.dum_ICT==0
Source | SS df MS Number of obs = 3,103
-------------+---------------------------------- F(52, 3050) = 42.74
Model | 2659.28191 52 51.1400367 Prob > F = 0.0000
Residual | 3649.46382 3,050 1.19654552 R-squared = 0.4215
-------------+---------------------------------- Adj R-squared = 0.4117
Total | 6308.74573 3,102 2.03376716 Root MSE = 1.0939
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Inno | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
dum_ICT | .2845822 .0697638 4.08 0.000 .1477933 .421371
firmage | -.0010243 .0015315 -0.67 0.504 -.0040271 .0019784
l10 | .5705493 .0458074 12.46 0.000 .4807328 .6603659
c3 | .1032498 .0581832 1.77 0.076 -.0108325 .2173322
b2b | .000677 .0007668 0.88 0.377 -.0008264 .0021804
|
a4a |
2 | -.2885407 .2943741 -0.98 0.327 -.8657323 .2886509
3 | -.2833497 .3388527 -0.84 0.403 -.9477525 .3810531
4 | .0474887 .355741 0.13 0.894 -.6500278 .7450051
5 | -.4421766 .2829037 -1.56 0.118 -.9968779 .1125246
6 | -.4162328 .2702835 -1.54 0.124 -.9461891 .1137235
7 | -.0908338 .3143731 -0.29 0.773 -.7072384 .5255707
8 | -.3757523 .2803625 -1.34 0.180 -.9254708 .1739663
9 | -.5647735 .2802044 -2.02 0.044 -1.114182 -.015365
10 | -.5570642 .4010146 -1.39 0.165 -1.34335 .229222
11 | .0529539 .4912183 0.11 0.914 -.9101984 1.016106
12 | -.1009795 .3189997 -0.32 0.752 -.7264557 .5244966
13 | -.197411 .2702716 -0.73 0.465 -.7273438 .3325219
14 | -.6717909 .4492206 -1.50 0.135 -1.552597 .2090148
15 | -.1987418 .3154601 -0.63 0.529 -.8172777 .4197941
16 | .290117 .3185079 0.91 0.362 -.3343948 .9146287
17 | -1.44027 .8197693 -1.76 0.079 -3.047626 .1670859
18 | .5777043 .8202959 0.70 0.481 -1.030684 2.186093
19 | -.3818752 .2680905 -1.42 0.154 -.9075315 .1437811
20 | -.2772761 .2735206 -1.01 0.311 -.8135795 .2590272
21 | -.6216942 .3072893 -2.02 0.043 -1.224209 -.0191792
23 | -.4837853 .3432089 -1.41 0.159 -1.156729 .189159
24 | -.4641845 .2853611 -1.63 0.104 -1.023704 .095335
25 | -.971511 .3362687 -2.89 0.004 -1.630847 -.3121749
|
a1 |
11 | .1634681 .1675756 0.98 0.329 -.1651045 .4920408
12 | -.3999711 .1618933 -2.47 0.014 -.717402 -.0825401
13 | -.1681401 .2141821 -0.79 0.432 -.588096 .2518158
14 | -.2134868 .2321303 -0.92 0.358 -.6686344 .2416608
15 | .3120863 .1438212 2.17 0.030 .03009 .5940826
16 | -.2574673 .1790772 -1.44 0.151 -.6085916 .093657
17 | -.1769258 .1475234 -1.20 0.231 -.4661812 .1123295
18 | .4848021 .1341442 3.61 0.000 .22178 .7478242
19 | 1.083772 .1396287 7.76 0.000 .8099967 1.357548
20 | 1.801743 .2438499 7.39 0.000 1.323616 2.27987
21 | 1.915563 .14788 12.95 0.000 1.625609 2.205518
22 | -.0225719 .1868979 -0.12 0.904 -.3890305 .3438867
23 | 1.349221 .1709095 7.89 0.000 1.014112 1.684331
25 | -.0714195 .1505803 -0.47 0.635 -.3666687 .2238297
27 | 1.790655 .1183697 15.13 0.000 1.558562 2.022747
28 | 1.999689 .1823233 10.97 0.000 1.6422 2.357178
29 | .9985773 .1282099 7.79 0.000 .7471907 1.249964
30 | .6118559 .1740438 3.52 0.000 .2706009 .953111
31 | -.4342055 .1394508 -3.11 0.002 -.7076325 -.1607785
32 | 2.301774 .1525156 15.09 0.000 2.00273 2.600817
33 | .7592134 .2025517 3.75 0.000 .3620618 1.156365
34 | 1.854734 .1338328 13.86 0.000 1.592322 2.117146
35 | 1.692545 .1409749 12.01 0.000 1.41613 1.968961
36 | .7192039 .1578082 4.56 0.000 .4097826 1.028625
|
_cons | .2699117 .281987 0.96 0.339 -.282992 .8228155
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
But I want further proof so I include Treatment effects and here a propensity score model (logistic).
Outcome variable: Inno
Treatment variable: dum_ICT
Treatment independent: firmage l10 c3 b2b
Code:
. teffects psmatch (Inno) (dum_ICT firmage l10 c3 b2b)
Treatment-effects estimation Number of obs = 6,460
Estimator : propensity-score matching Matches: requested = 1
Outcome model : matching min = 1
Treatment model: logit max = 206
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| AI Robust
Inno | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
ATE |
dum_ICT |
(1 vs 0) | .3910807 .0534788 7.31 0.000 .2862642 .4958973
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Also that model shows that ICT adoption is significant and if a firm adopts ICT their innovativeness increases. My question now is, what else would you suggest to do in order to proof my assumption? Would you suggest to use another estimation technique? I also think about interaction terms in order to see why ICT adoption positively affects Innovation. Therefore I am curious about interesting interactions with ICT.
By the way, I will do all the regressions I showed above for the dependent variables:
Capacity Utilization
Export Rate
Gross Profit Margin
Labor Productivity and
Cost of Material Ratio
in order to show how ICT adoption affects overall firm performance.
Thank you very much.
Kind regards
Dominik
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